OK politicos. Please post your prediction as to the election results that will be coming in next Tuesday. Popular vote for Trump vs popular vote for Biden. Extra credit for Electoral College results.
Here’s my take:
Biden 52%, Trump 47%.
Rationale?
*only 1% of voters go for third party candidates vs 5% in 2016. Those voters hated Hillary and Trump. Less impact this time.
*increased Republican voter registration is offset by ”leakage” by former Trump supporters among older voters (Covid fears continue) and suburban women (tired of DJT attacks on women).
*hatred of Hillary does not translate to hatred of Joe. He’s harder to hate.
*love of Trump and hatred of Trump are both strong. Huge voter turnout by both parties.
*Biden carries Arizona, loses in Texas and does better than Hillary in the industrial Midwest. Florida is a true toss up. If Trump loses Florida, it’s an Electoral landslide For Biden.
What’s your take?
Thanks.
Here’s my take:
Biden 52%, Trump 47%.
Rationale?
*only 1% of voters go for third party candidates vs 5% in 2016. Those voters hated Hillary and Trump. Less impact this time.
*increased Republican voter registration is offset by ”leakage” by former Trump supporters among older voters (Covid fears continue) and suburban women (tired of DJT attacks on women).
*hatred of Hillary does not translate to hatred of Joe. He’s harder to hate.
*love of Trump and hatred of Trump are both strong. Huge voter turnout by both parties.
*Biden carries Arizona, loses in Texas and does better than Hillary in the industrial Midwest. Florida is a true toss up. If Trump loses Florida, it’s an Electoral landslide For Biden.
What’s your take?
Thanks.