Can someone please explain to Manny that this is not how analytics work. I have watched football consistently for over 30 years and I can count on one finger (after today) the number of times that a team down 8 late in the 4th has gone for 2. Analytics require sample data, if there are rare events, you can't extrapolate from them. This is the same reason "analytics" say to go for it on 4th and 2 from your own 30 - someone tried it (once, at least during regular gameplay and not in a must go for it scenario) and succeeded, therefore it becomes a recommended strategy. If teams actually consistently did this, it would obviously be a losing decision as it almost automatically gives the other team points if you fail. Basically, there is a role for analytics, but for those that actually understand it