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New COVID Case Number Exponential Decay?

CaneBandit said:
I’ll just leave this one here:

Has anyone noticed the near exponential decay in the national 7-day average of new COVID cases since the Georgia election runoff?
Click to expand...
Absolutely. And now we have the vaccine in play, yet mask mania seems to have intensified. It's almost as if there's a segment of the populace, perhaps a very large one, that doesn't want it to end...
 
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krvanness said:
Absolutely. And now we have the vaccine in play, yet mask mania seems to have intensified. It's almost as if there's a segment of the populace, perhaps a very large one, that doesn't want it to end...
Click to expand...
ya'll mismatching your theories. He's saying that Corona went down after the election because it was fake and was only around for US elections.

You're saying the media is reporting that is more dangerous than ever and we need to wear masks even after elections for (pick a theory, population control, erasure of civil rights, tin foil hats).


Meanwhile the rest of the world (far left, far right and in between) are all dealing with Covid and US Death rates remain pretty damn high, what we up to 450k dead now?

Awesome thread tho.

BTW Sputnik V (the first drug) seems to have been 91% effective, but hey this is all American politics right?
 
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ellu said:
ya'll mismatching your theories. He's saying that Corona went down after the election because it was fake and was only around for US elections.

You're saying the media is reporting that is more dangerous than ever and we need to wear masks even after elections for (pick a theory, population control, erasure of civil rights, tin foil hats).


Meanwhile the rest of the world (far left, far right and in between) are all dealing with Covid and US Death rates remain pretty damn high, what we up to 450k dead now?

Awesome thread tho.

BTW Sputnik V (the first drug) seems to have been 91% effective, but hey this is all American politics right?
Click to expand...
I am far from a conspiracy theory guy. In typical fashion, you can’t discuss the topic, you would rather assume others’ thoughts to deflect. To summarize:

Fact presented: exponential decay in new US COVID cases.
Observation: This decay in reporting of new cases started after the Georgia runoff results.

Discuss...
 
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ellu said:
ya'll mismatching your theories. He's saying that Corona went down after the election because it was fake and was only around for US elections.

You're saying the media is reporting that is more dangerous than ever and we need to wear masks even after elections for (pick a theory, population control, erasure of civil rights, tin foil hats).


Meanwhile the rest of the world (far left, far right and in between) are all dealing with Covid and US Death rates remain pretty damn high, what we up to 450k dead now?

Awesome thread tho.

BTW Sputnik V (the first drug) seems to have been 91% effective, but hey this is all American politics right?
Click to expand...
A death rate of less than 1% is "pretty damn high"?
 
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CaneBandit said:
I am far from a conspiracy theory guy. In typical fashion, you can’t discuss the topic, you would rather assume others’ thoughts to deflect. To summarize:

Fact presented: exponential decay in new US COVID cases.
Observation: This decay in reporting of new cases started after the Georgia runoff results.

Discuss...
Click to expand...
Would you actually like to discuss the topic? I did not deflect I pointed to the counternarrative in the first two posts. Literally cited them, literally pointed to the contradictions contained therein.

Now if you'd like to discuss, please whats the topic? Is it whether the metric should be applied? if so here is my opinion.

Exponential decay was the model always predicted for use with Covid. I did not see a discussion to happen. Sure, I verified if this would be an example of linear decay in the event that I was mistaken. But clearly, there are multiple articles dating back to last year that exponential decay would be the metric.

I'm a science guy, so I never doubted that the predictive measure. It doesn't take much math background to understand it, you don't have to be able to compute

Is it the observation that it went down? You provide no data, no tables, no resources citing this downturn. Assuming its accurate, wouldn't a discussion involve causation? If the cause is based on reporting numbers, would it not be a good idea to include them so we could all be discussing apples to apples?

If the post was designed to be conclusory, fact A. Observation B. therefore....then the discussion would be about the result of the actual fact, and the observation.

Given the two posts you made, one with a fact and observation, the other saying there was no response, and then the subsequent response which seemed to contradict the conclusion implied in the 'fact and observation', I responded by contrasting the two positions as they are inopposite.

So what discussion are you seeking to have?

Is it a discussion as to the metric used to measure Corona? Is it the observation that in some undefined area (state, local, national, continental, international) it has gone down since the GA resolution. Is it a general discussion on Covids growth?

What area would you like to discuss.
 
ellu said:
Would you actually like to discuss the topic? I did not deflect I pointed to the counternarrative in the first two posts. Literally cited them, literally pointed to the contradictions contained therein.

Now if you'd like to discuss, please whats the topic? Is it whether the metric should be applied? if so here is my opinion.

Exponential decay was the model always predicted for use with Covid. I did not see a discussion to happen. Sure, I verified if this would be an example of linear decay in the event that I was mistaken. But clearly, there are multiple articles dating back to last year that exponential decay would be the metric.

I'm a science guy, so I never doubted that the predictive measure. It doesn't take much math background to understand it, you don't have to be able to compute

Is it the observation that it went down? You provide no data, no tables, no resources citing this downturn. Assuming its accurate, wouldn't a discussion involve causation? If the cause is based on reporting numbers, would it not be a good idea to include them so we could all be discussing apples to apples?

If the post was designed to be conclusory, fact A. Observation B. therefore....then the discussion would be about the result of the actual fact, and the observation.

Given the two posts you made, one with a fact and observation, the other saying there was no response, and then the subsequent response which seemed to contradict the conclusion implied in the 'fact and observation', I responded by contrasting the two positions as they are inopposite.

So what discussion are you seeking to have?

Is it a discussion as to the metric used to measure Corona? Is it the observation that in some undefined area (state, local, national, continental, international) it has gone down since the GA resolution. Is it a general discussion on Covids growth?

What area would you like to discuss.
Click to expand...
Word salad. Literally, you said nothing. We can all see the data, but you claim to be science guy?

You keep referring to two posts, but I only had one, until the one you just quoted. It is simple

Fact presented: exponential decay in new US COVID cases.
Observation: This decay in reporting of new cases started after the Georgia runoff results.

Discuss...
 
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CaneBandit said:
Word salad. Literally, you said nothing. We can all see the data, but you claim to be science guy?

You keep referring to two posts, but I only had one, until the one you just quoted. It is simple

Fact presented: exponential decay in new US COVID cases.
Observation: This decay in reporting of new cases started after the Georgia runoff results.

Discuss...
Click to expand...
...and you have these Teachers Unions refusing to go back to work. Total deaths for the Age 5-14 demographic? 67
 
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You keep referring to two posts, but I only had one, until the one you just quoted. It is simple

Post one.
I’ll just leave this one here:

Has anyone noticed the near exponential decay in the national 7-day average of new COVID cases since the Georgia election runoff?

Post two
Peoples very silent on this one

I pointed out the discord between your post and Krav's post
"Absolutely. And now we have the vaccine in play, yet mask mania seems to have intensified. It's almost as if there's a segment of the populace, perhaps a very large one, that doesn't want it to end... "

You then accused me of assuming thoughts, so I posted specifics on why exponential decay is the accurate metric.

I then explained that if I were assuming anything it would have been that you were making a conclusory correlation between the decay and the election (conspiracy). I previously cited to the fact that it was global issue, highlighted the Russian vaccine.

And yet your response was I deflected. So that brought me to asking you exactly what was the topic.

If its not conspiracy theory, if its not based on an argument of whether linear or exponential decay is applicable, what's the discussion about?

Saying "word salad" or deflection doesn't lead to discussion when clarity is requested. Now if your point is to hint that there is some correlation between the rate of infection and the Georgia results then we are either talking conspiracy theory or need additional information.
 
ellu said:
You keep referring to two posts, but I only had one, until the one you just quoted. It is simple

Post one.
I’ll just leave this one here:

Has anyone noticed the near exponential decay in the national 7-day average of new COVID cases since the Georgia election runoff?

Post two
Peoples very silent on this one

I pointed out the discord between your post and Krav's post
"Absolutely. And now we have the vaccine in play, yet mask mania seems to have intensified. It's almost as if there's a segment of the populace, perhaps a very large one, that doesn't want it to end... "

You then accused me of assuming thoughts, so I posted specifics on why exponential decay is the accurate metric.

I then explained that if I were assuming anything it would have been that you were making a conclusory correlation between the decay and the election (conspiracy). I previously cited to the fact that it was global issue, highlighted the Russian vaccine.

And yet your response was I deflected. So that brought me to asking you exactly what was the topic.

If its not conspiracy theory, if its not based on an argument of whether linear or exponential decay is applicable, what's the discussion about?

Saying "word salad" or deflection doesn't lead to discussion when clarity is requested. Now if your point is to hint that there is some correlation between the rate of infection and the Georgia results then we are either talking conspiracy theory or need additional information.
Click to expand...
You have yet to discuss the facts and observation.
 
CaneBandit said:
You have yet to discuss the facts and observation.
Click to expand...
Bro. I went at length about the fact that exponential decay, the model that was predicted to be effective, proved it was correct.

the observation is anecdotal and incomplete. I asked for additional information.

if conspiracy, I addressed that first, you accused me of deflection and have yet to provide, 1. Information material to supporting the corollary 2. Whether you believe there is a correlation or 3. Data that could be used eg, geographic region, predicted numbers for the period in question.

so what would the discussion be? Franku I mentioned Sputnik V in the first response.
 
ellu said:
Bro. I went at length about the fact that exponential decay, the model that was predicted to be effective, proved it was correct.

the observation is anecdotal and incomplete. I asked for additional information.

if conspiracy, I addressed that first, you accused me of deflection and have yet to provide, 1. Information material to supporting the corollary 2. Whether you believe there is a correlation or 3. Data that could be used eg, geographic region, predicted numbers for the period in question.

so what would the discussion be? Franku I mentioned Sputnik V in the first response.
Click to expand...
My brother, we know how pandemics die off and specifically what that looks like with respect to new cases. The model is not the topic. The current data is. Then again show me where “the model” said when would the exponential decay occur, I.e., the timing of the decay of said model. I didn’t realize you were so obtuse. Just say it’s a
coincidence or nothing and move on.
 
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The media can largely shape how the population feels about a subject. Since the virus started it's been the sky is falling..until Biden was sworn in. just yesterday I read multiple stories about how the virus is suddenly in decline, going away. It's a subtle switch and a trend that will continue. I'm not saying the virus was fake, I'm saying the media influences and to an extent controls how the population feels about it. Now, the dem propaganda machine wants this to slowly go away.
 
Last edited:
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MungoGungo said:
The media can largely shape how the population feels about a subject. Since the virus started it's been the sky is falling..until Biden was sworn in. just yesterday I read multiple stories about how the virus is suddenly in decline, going away. It's a subtle switch and a trend that will continue. I'm not saying the virus was fake, I'm saying the media influences and to an extent controls how the population feels about it. Now, the dem propaganda machine wants this to slowly go away.
Click to expand...
The virus, as you said, is certainly not fake. The response and media hype? Fake, fake, fake...
 
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krvanness said:
...and you have these Teachers Unions refusing to go back to work. Total deaths for the Age 5-14 demographic? 67
Click to expand...
Dumb ass, it’s not the death rate of young people is the death rate of all the people who those young people live with. Your parents must be deceased.
 
krvanness said:
Hey genius, the death rate is infinitesimal. Get your head out of your ass.
Click to expand...
Get your head out of your ass dummy. I had family members to die of this. Some of you guys are the dumbest MF’s in the world. And you have proved that you are one of them.
 
CaneBandit said:
Get back in your basement
Click to expand...
How does it feel to follow a loser? And your whole world comes crashing down when you thought he was gonna be the next president again? That’s what happens when you put all your trust you’re a loser. America has spoken he will never be the president again.BLM
 
CaneBandit said:
I am far from a conspiracy theory guy. In typical fashion, you can’t discuss the topic, you would rather assume others’ thoughts to deflect. To summarize:

Fact presented: exponential decay in new US COVID cases.
Observation: This decay in reporting of new cases started after the Georgia runoff results.

Discuss...
Click to expand...

They never want to discuss just deflect.. Very typical when they are going to lose the argument..
 
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gokcub said:
How does it feel to follow a loser? And your whole world comes crashing down when you thought he was gonna be the next president again? That’s what happens when you put all your trust you’re a loser. America has spoken he will never be the president again.BLM
Click to expand...
I’n not a Trump fan. He is gone. Will your TDS ever be ?
 
CaneBandit said:
I’n not a Trump fan. He is gone. Will your TDS ever be ?
Click to expand...
You are a Trump Cult Member. Every that reads your post knows you are. I wonder what your user name was before Trump lost the election. Deal with Biden is our COMMANDOR AND CHEIF.
BLACK LIVES MATTER
 
ellu said:
You keep referring to two posts, but I only had one, until the one you just quoted. It is simple

Post one.
I’ll just leave this one here:

Has anyone noticed the near exponential decay in the national 7-day average of new COVID cases since the Georgia election runoff?

Post two
Peoples very silent on this one

I pointed out the discord between your post and Krav's post
"Absolutely. And now we have the vaccine in play, yet mask mania seems to have intensified. It's almost as if there's a segment of the populace, perhaps a very large one, that doesn't want it to end... "

You then accused me of assuming thoughts, so I posted specifics on why exponential decay is the accurate metric.

I then explained that if I were assuming anything it would have been that you were making a conclusory correlation between the decay and the election (conspiracy). I previously cited to the fact that it was global issue, highlighted the Russian vaccine.

And yet your response was I deflected. So that brought me to asking you exactly what was the topic.

If its not conspiracy theory, if its not based on an argument of whether linear or exponential decay is applicable, what's the discussion about?

Saying "word salad" or deflection doesn't lead to discussion when clarity is requested. Now if your point is to hint that there is some correlation between the rate of infection and the Georgia results then we are either talking conspiracy theory or need additional information.
Click to expand...
Get over yourself ellu. Typical attorney drivel.
 
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CaneBandit said:
My brother, we know how pandemics die off and specifically what that looks like with respect to new cases. The model is not the topic. The current data is. Then again show me where “the model” said when would the exponential decay occur, I.e., the timing of the decay of said model. I didn’t realize you were so obtuse. Just say it’s a
coincidence or nothing and move on.
Click to expand...

Pandemics can die of linearly, this one won't. HIV would be a linear model for instance, I think the plague might fit linearly as well. Add a Fibonacci argument and it gets fun.

There are a number of studies that point at how the decay work.

I wasn't being obtuse. My very first post in this thread highlighted the conspiracy theory, you then stated you were not conspiracy theory so I moved beyond it. If it's simply conspiracy theory then my first post literally acknowledged as much. If you think it's a coincidence or random occurrence is that worth posting?


My first post in the event you don't want to scroll up was directed to Krav and is below. We still haven't talked about Sputnik V which to me was the news of the day.

"ya'll mismatching your theories. He's saying that Corona went down after the election because it was fake and was only around for US elections.

You're saying the media is reporting that is more dangerous than ever and we need to wear masks even after elections for (pick a theory, population control, erasure of civil rights, tin foil hats).


Meanwhile the rest of the world (far left, far right and in between) are all dealing with Covid and US Death rates remain pretty damn high, what we up to 450k dead now?

Awesome thread tho.

BTW Sputnik V (the first drug) seems to have been 91% effective, but hey this is all American politics right?"
 
ellu said:
Pandemics can die of linearly, this one won't. HIV would be a linear model for instance, I think the plague might fit linearly as well. Add a Fibonacci argument and it gets fun.

There are a number of studies that point at how the decay work.

I wasn't being obtuse. My very first post in this thread highlighted the conspiracy theory, you then stated you were not conspiracy theory so I moved beyond it. If it's simply conspiracy theory then my first post literally acknowledged as much. If you think it's a coincidence or random occurrence is that worth posting?


My first post in the event you don't want to scroll up was directed to Krav and is below. We still haven't talked about Sputnik V which to me was the news of the day.

"ya'll mismatching your theories. He's saying that Corona went down after the election because it was fake and was only around for US elections.

You're saying the media is reporting that is more dangerous than ever and we need to wear masks even after elections for (pick a theory, population control, erasure of civil rights, tin foil hats).


Meanwhile the rest of the world (far left, far right and in between) are all dealing with Covid and US Death rates remain pretty damn high, what we up to 450k dead now?

Awesome thread tho.

BTW Sputnik V (the first drug) seems to have been 91% effective, but hey this is all American politics right?"
Click to expand...
Another person’s posts have nothing to do with my post. I don’t care what else’s was said, I asked for a discussion about what I posted.
 
gokcub said:
You are a Trump Cult Member. Every that reads your post knows you are. I wonder what your user name was before Trump lost the election. Deal with Biden is our COMMANDOR AND CHEIF.
BLACK LIVES MATTER
Click to expand...
Show me one post where I defended the head narcissistic. You just can’t take it that someone holds people accountable, regardless of political views, you sheep. Baaah! Enjoy your TDS filled day!
 
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CaneBandit said:
I’ll just leave this one here:

Has anyone noticed the near exponential decay in the national 7-day average of new COVID cases since the Georgia election runoff?
Click to expand...
It went up after the holidays and then came down as it should have. 🙄
 
CaneBandit said:
Another person’s posts have nothing to do with my post. I don’t care what else’s was said, I asked for a discussion about what I posted.
Click to expand...
My response was what it was, you responded to my response. It was directed to Krav. Either way, the conspiracy angle was addressed in my initial post.
 
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