Forget about Republicans v. Democrats and all of the emotion which comes with it for just a second.
Here is the current delegate count:
(1) Trump - 82
(2) Cruz - 17
(3) Rubio - 17
(4) Kasich - 6
Now, next Tuesday we have Super Tuesday whereby 12 states will vote:
- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arkansas
- Colorado
- Georgia
- Massachusetts
- Minnesota
- Oklahoma
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Vermont
- Virginia
- Wyoming
In Total, you have about 660 delegates at stake, with Texas being the big boy at 155. Most polls have Cruz slightly ahead of Trump right now in Texas... So, approximately 1/4 of all the delegates will have been casted by the time Super Tuesday is through.
Right now Trump holds a DOUBLE DIGIT lead in 9 out of 12 states on Super Tuesday, including most of the "SEC States". So, it is critical that Cruz wins Texas in his home state. Fortunately for Marco, Florida does not vote until March 15 with a debate at the University of Miami on March 10. However, Florida is a closed primary winner-take-all state with 99 delegates going to the winner. A new Quinnipiac Poll came out yesterday which has Trump at 44% in Florida with Rubio at 28%.
I am a major Rubio supporter and am campaigning for Marco. Last night was Marco's finest debate performance to date, but frankly, it may be too little too late. There were so many Republican candidates to start the campaign, that they all had to fight against each other and battle for position instead of focusing on Trump. Now that the field as narrowed down to effectively THREE candidates (because Kasich and Carson have no realistic chance at this point), you see Cruz and Rubio emptying the proverbial "political arsenal" against Trump last night. I believe that this was mostly ineffective for two reasons: (1) Trump's core base of support may be only 30%-35%, but is a rabid, angry, and loyal core base of support- these voters won't waver just because of a debate; and (2) it is likely too little, too late. We are now what, 10 debates into this primary vote...? Most people are locked in on their candidate at this point, so Rubio may have gained between 3%-5% of the voting public, but that number is likely not enough to OVERTAKE Trump who, as I state above, holds a DOUBLE DIGIT lead in most of the Super Tuesday states, and Florida on March 15. Marco also needs to win some states- he has a good shot at Virginia where he received some key endorsements and also because Virginia has the highest rate of educated voters in the country. Rubio consistently receives the highest number of votes from the high educated voters.
So, things will be interesting the next 7-10 days. If Cruz, Rubio, and Kasich cannot even win in their home states, then forget about it- you can't be a candidate in the general election when the people of your home state don't make you the winner of your home state in a Primary. It's that simple. I love Marco and everything for what he stands, but his campaign has a lot of work to do, which is why I am working hard for his campaign and doing what I can. I will be at the Republican Debate at the University of Miami on March 10 hosted by CNN... It should be noted though, that I WILL stand strong beside Trump in the event he becomes the Republican Nominee. I do not like Trump's style in many respects, but the man is a proven leader, a proven winner, and a proven doer of things. He may be flawed, but I believe Trump is head and shoulders better than ANYONE on either side of politics except for Rubio.
Just my honest opinion.